A few people have asked me why I stopped posting on finance. Until this week I didn’t really have a complete answer. Now I think it was because I forgot what type of investor I was. When I forgot, I started losing money. When I started losing money, I started losing interest. All my biggest investment […]
Reviewing My 2009 Financial Predictions
It is time to review my 2009 Financial Predictions. It seems like a million years since I wrote that post. S&P 500 By the end of 2009 it will hit 633. This estimate is based solely off earnings ($42.26 x PE of 15). That is a conservative number. If you use a 12 PE, the number […]
Guest Financial Predictions by Derek Wilson
These are some financial predictions by my pal and former neighbor Derek Wilson. He doesn’t have a blog and asked that I put his picks on the record. My posting of his picks is not an endorsement. His 10 year timeline is much longer than anything I would attempt to predict. Residential housing: slow decline […]
Eye of the Hurricane
Right now we are in the eye of the hurricane. For weeks we’ve heard economists talk about recovery and green shoots. Nonsense. Note that these economists are the same ones the missed the recession and credit crisis in the forecasts. For me, I need to see two things before I can believe a recovery is […]
Not As Short As I Used To Be
At the beginning of the year I listed 633 as my 2009 target for the S &P 500. We came close to that last week. My plan all along has been to lighten up on my short positions as I get close to that target. On Friday, I reduced my short exposure from 90.1% to […]
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